AI
Can System-1 Models Reduce p(Doom)?
My two most recent posts addressed separate questions. The first examined whether artificial intelligence (AI), or in the term now more commonly used, superintelligence (SI), poses an existential risk to humanity. That probability is oft…
AI
Fast Thinking for AI
A dual-process account of AI architecture, and a first evaluation of Jev on note-level PHI detection across 1000 synthetic clinical notes.
AI
P(Doom) and P(Boom): Is AI Too Risky (Part 1)
On September 9, 2026, Jacob Coxon, a pretraining researcher who had worked at both OpenAI and Anthropic, resigned and posted a thread on X stating that the two labs are "racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling wi…
AI
Sixty-Seven Cents of Reasoning
A small transformer trained from scratch at test time scored 44% on ARC-AGI-1 for 67 cents. What its ablations suggest about sample efficiency, priors, and annotation cost in medical AI.
AI
"AI" Is Like "Medicine"
The word "AI" is now applied to nearly all parts of life and science, including nucleic-acid classifiers, chatbots, robotic surgical arms. The challenge is that ‘AI’ is applied as though a single set of strengths, weaknesses, and risks a…
Clinical Use
AI Efficiency Claims in Radiology: What the Published Evidence Supports
A review of the published evidence for AI-associated efficiency gains in radiology, covering report drafting, worklist triage, and workforce claims.
Automation
Deterministic Automation and Probabilistic AI: Designing for Complementarity
LLMs are probabilistic components with a distinct failure signature. We argue that a deterministic automation backbone and an explicit exception-handling loop are prerequisites for their safe use.
Clinical Use
From Validation to Deployment: Why Medical AI Fails to Reach Sustained Clinical Use
Validation performance is weakly informative regarding clinical utility. We review the modes of deployment failure, the human factors that determine adoption, and what characterizes successful implementation.
Clinical Use
Model Drift in Clinical AI: Mechanisms, Consequences, and Monitoring
Deployed models degrade as operational data diverge from their training distribution. We review the mechanisms of drift, its clinical consequences, and the monitoring required to detect it.
Ethics
Algorithmic Bias in Medical AI: Sources, Fairness Criteria, and Mitigation
Aggregate accuracy conceals disparate subgroup performance. We review how demographic bias propagates through the development pipeline and what should be required before deployment.
UQ
Uncertainty Quantification in Clinical AI: Beyond Binary Triage
Binary alerts convey no information about model certainty. We review why uncertainty quantification is required for actionable clinical AI.
Foundation Models
Foundation Models in Medical Imaging: Scope, Data Efficiency, and Pre-Training Demographics
Models described as foundational in medical imaging are generally restricted to one modality and one anatomical region. We review the source of that constraint and its consequences.
Clinical Use
Hybrid Rule-Based and Agentic Workflows in Healthcare: A Reliability Argument
Error compounds multiplicatively across sequential agent steps. We propose a hybrid architecture allocating decisions to deterministic rules or agent reasoning by risk and reversibility.
Bio AI
Machine Learning in Molecular Biology: Protein Design, Gene Editing, and Data Storage
Machine learning is being applied to protein design, gene editing, and molecular data storage. We review the reported evidence and its current limitations.
Future
Physical AI in Medicine: Embodied Systems and Robotic Intervention
From autonomous acquisition systems to robotic intervention, we review how embodied AI may alter medical practice and what evidence currently supports it.